Following the heavy losses suffered during the air skirmishes with Pakistan between May 7–11, India now finds itself both recovering from recent setbacks and falling behind in the fifth-generation fighter race. Retired Air Marshal Anil Chopra of the Indian Air Force highlighted the country’s growing security vulnerabilities and future challenges in an article published by the EurAsian Times.
3 Rafales, 1 Su-30, 1 MiG-29 Lost: Media Silent, Truth Lurks in the Shadows
Although the Indian public remains largely unaware, international reports confirm the loss of three Rafale fighters, one Su-30, and one MiG-29. India’s urgent call for a ceasefire after the skirmishes underscored New Delhi’s strategic retreat. Despite domestic media efforts to downplay the defeat, the regional power balance is visibly shifting.
Pakistan’s Acquisition of the Chinese J-35 Changes the Game
Chopra’s article notes that China could deliver its fifth-generation stealth fighter, the J-35A, to Pakistan ahead of schedule. Pakistani Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar has confirmed that recent talks with China settled key logistical and financial details. This suggests the previously announced 2029 delivery timeline could be significantly moved forward.
“Pakistan’s procurement of the J-35A could fundamentally alter the dynamics of air superiority in South Asia.”
— Anil Chopra
India’s Indigenous AMCA May Not Be Ready Until 2035
India’s highly anticipated fifth-generation fighter program, the Advanced Medium Combat Aircraft (AMCA), is only expected to make its first flight in 2030, with full-scale production unlikely before 2035. Chopra warns that this delay could leave India exposed, as adversaries are projected to operate thousands of stealth fighters by the time AMCA enters service.
Turkey’s KAAN and China’s JF-17 Also Ring Alarm Bells
Pakistan’s involvement in Turkey’s KAAN fighter jet project—contributing 200 engineers—adds to India’s growing anxiety. Chopra notes that it is “surprising but alarming” to see economically-strained Pakistan playing an active role in such high-profile defence programs.
China Establishes Dominance with the J-20
China now possesses over 300 J-20 stealth fighters and aims to boost production to 100 units annually, targeting a fleet of 1,500 by 2035. According to Chopra, this scale and speed severely limit India’s ability to defend its airspace.
Only Option Left: Su-57 or Interim F-35 Procurement
Mounting strategic pressure has reignited talks in India about temporarily importing fifth-generation fighters. While Russia’s Su-57 appears to be the most accessible option, ongoing war efforts have slowed Russian production.
Another alternative is the U.S.-built F-35. However, Chopra notes that India’s trust in the U.S. is limited. Still, he suggests New Delhi should pursue a behind-the-scenes deal to acquire the F-35.
“If India wants to save the AMCA program, it must appoint a dedicated CEO and channel all national resources into the project.”
— Anil Chopra
